Though the Patriots were the only team to make the playoffs in every simulation, they never even reached the Super Bowl.Īfter the Patriots (10) and Browns (nine), the Colts, Chargers and Saints accumulated the most playoff appearances (seven). Madden sees the Tom Brady-Bill Belichick reign coming to an end. The Bucs haven’t had a 1,000-yard rusher since Doug Martin in 2015. Despite unimpressive yards per carry averages, Barber did, however, gain 1,000 yards in two simulations. Barber averaged 3.6 yards per carry, and Jones averaged 2.8 yards per carry. The tight end averaged 53 catches, 522 yards and four touchdowns. The last time a pair of Tampa Bay receivers did that was in 2014 (Evans and Vincent Jackson). In one simulation, he and Evans both surpassed 1,000 receiving yards. The third-year receiver averaged 78 catches, 803 yards and four touchdowns. As long as he stays healthy, his floor is 1,000 yards and six touchdowns. During their playoff drought, Tampa Bay has intercepted at least 20 passes just twice, in 20. While such an outcome certainly is possible, it’s unlikely. The defense became a takeaway machine.Jameis Winston produced an outstanding season, throwing four times as many touchdown passes (29) as interceptions (seven).The Bucs played 12 games decided by one score.This is the time of year for hope, not despair, so let’s look at that 8-8 season. That’s a downer, isn’t it? True, the team hasn’t even played a meaningful snap yet.
If Madden’s forecast comes true, then Tampa Bay’s 12-season playoff drought will become the NFL’s longest active streak. The Browns, however, reached the postseason nine out of 10 times. The Bucs did not make the playoffs in any of the simulations. The most common finish was 5-11 (three times). Tampa Bay finished with as few as four wins (twice) and as many as eight wins (once). But if you truly are looking for a reason why it’s worth playing the games, here’s one: There was a bit of variance in the simulations. Six wins? SIX?!?! Why even bother playing the games, you say? Let’s just have a computer figure it all out.
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